Finding Our Way in the Metaverse

Experiences range from buying real estate and furnishing a virtual home to attending a concert or interacting with holograms of your coworkers.

Nearly nine out of ten executives expect to find business value in the metaverse in the next five years. Others aren’t sure what the value will be—or even what the metaverse is. Still others are already knee-deep in defining both.

Article snapshot: If the metaverse has you confused, you’re not alone. Some have tried to simplify things by calling the metaverse “the internet with a sense of place.” Here we look at what that might mean in the digital worlds of today and tomorrow.

Take Everyrealm, owner of the MetaMall in Decentraland. The digital shopping centre offers 364,000 square feet of space to companies interested in creating retail storefronts for virtual shoppers. The mall doesn’t exist in the real world, but Everyrealm expects it to generate real profits, and recently engaged real estate firm Avison Young as the listing agent for the virtual retail space.

The emergence of shopping in the metaverse shouldn’t come as a surprise. Given the chance to create unheard-of experiences in a new cyber realm, many companies are opting for a more familiar, less risky path—replicating the world we already inhabit, right down to the malls.

It’s a natural next step as the internet weaves itself more intimately into consumers’ lives. Forward thinkers like Accenture’s Katie Burke have called the metaverse tomorrow’s internet, with at least one key addition: a sense of place.

Indeed, whether we visit the metaverse to shop, socialize, play fantasy games, or work, it’s likely that understanding place—where we are, what we encounter there, and how we navigate in and around those places—will be as important as it is on terra firma.

Who Does Your PR?

Eighty-six percent of Turkish residents are familiar with the metaverse—the strongest name recognition in any country, according to the World Economic Forum. (India and China are second and third.)

By contrast, the metaverse could use a PR boost in Poland, France, and Belgium/Germany, where only 27, 28, and 30 percent of residents, respectively, have heard of it.

The Metaverse: Finding Our Way

If you’ve never been to a virtual mall in Decentraland and don’t know which cryptocurrency to use for real estate purchases in the The Sandbox, don’t worry, you have a lot of company. The metaverse is a phenomenon billions of people have heard of and few have experienced. Just 16 percent of Americans could even define the metaverse in a recent survey.

But that doesn’t mean it won’t be part of our future. After all, it’s already an artefact of our past. Nearly a generation ago, Second Life and other digital worlds emerged, earning enthusiasm from users and investments from corporations as well as some scepticism.

Today’s metaverse is much improved, proponents say, thanks to better 3D visuals, more evolved interactive virtual and augmented reality, tactile experiences, and cryptocurrency-based transactions.

But the allure remains: The metaverse is a place where one can virtually interact with friends or strangers, experience games, collaborate on work, and purchase products and services.

As with any new land, its geography is worth exploring.

Despite its potential for creating entirely new geographies, many versions of the metaverse are tethered to traditional ideas of place.

What’s the Plural of Metaverse?

Despite its all-encompassing name, the metaverse isn’t a single place with a central gateway. Rather, it’s a panoply of experiences, each accessed separately and governed by its own company, creator, or decentralised collective of users.

Some realms are accessed through VR goggles; others can be navigated via a desktop browser or a phone. Experiences range from buying real estate and furnishing a virtual home to attending a concert or interacting with holograms of your coworkers around a cyber conference table. Prominent destinations include Roblox, Decentraland, Meta’s Horizon Worlds, The Sandbox, ZEPETO, games like Grand Theft Auto, and others.

On the Metaverse To-Do List

For more on what one can do in a metaverse, check out this list—or read about one Vice reporter’s recent virtual night out.

Such diversity has led to discussions of what qualifies as a metaverse, a multiverse, or an omniverse. One antidote to complexity in any new realm is to establish a sense of place—and a means of navigation. Humans have relied on maps to navigate the real world for millennia, and 50 years ago, technology called a geographic information system (GIS) emerged to deepen that relationship by adding information that helps people better understand a location.

Since then, innovators have applied GIS to many challenges and opportunities. One pioneering biochemist used the technology to map DNA strands in an effort to share information about COVID-19 and other diseases. Others have used GIS to create realistic cities for Disney movies and digital twins for infrastructure projects.

In the spirit of innovation, here we explore some of the main uses of the metaverse and share a few thoughts on how location—and location technology like GIS—might factor into each:

  • Gaming—Traditional video gaming is migrating toward mixed reality, where virtual actions are overlaid on the real world through augmented reality or on a manufactured world through virtual reality. In a recent presentation, Rochester Institute of Technology professor Brian Tomaszewski called Pokémon GO a prime early example of the former. He also noted that GIS technology is increasingly involved in simulating experiences in business settings. That might include the models AEC firms use to review projects with clients or digital twins used by city leaders to plan for growth.
  • The Third Place—In the real world, the third place is where people spend time outside work and home—in restaurants, coffee shops, movie theatres, concert halls, stores, bars, clubs, and the like. In the metaverse, Meta (née Facebook) has been an early player in creating digital spaces where people socialize, but other metaverses boast similar experiences. Location technology could play a key role in helping users navigate these spaces and understand relationships among people and places. It might also help businesses understand the popularity of stores or the ways in which avatars move through virtual spaces.
  • Work—While some companies will lease space in the metaverse as a way to market to customers, others are exploring how employees can collaborate or improve daily activities. Augmented reality could be a boon for maintenance technicians and field operatives. WhereNext covered the story of an IT director who saw a chance to improve safety and efficiency for his colleagues at a water utility in New Jersey. Through the integration of GIS software, HoloLens mixed reality glasses, and a geodatabase, he enabled technicians to see holograms of underground utility lines, helping them avoid gas or telecom lines when repairing a water leak.

On a Path Toward New Experiences

On a recent S&P webcast, one expert suggested it would take half a decade for a robust metaverse to emerge. In a 2022 Pew poll of tech leaders, 54 percent said a robust, immersive metaverse would be part of daily life for millions of people by 2040.

If its beginnings are any indication, the metaverse will likely evolve in many ways. There will be opportunities to game; meet new people; and extend the way we work, shop, and socialise. In all those activities, our desire for a sense of place and novel locations will guide our experiences.

What those experiences will be, only time will tell. In the meantime, maybe we’ll see you at the mall.

This article originally appeared in the global edition of WhereNext.

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What Is Spatial Finance, and How to Prepare for It

Spatial finance is helping banks, insurers, and even companies themselves gauge the impact of business activities on the natural world.

The ubiquity of climate change disruptions and the urgency of a green economy are driving financial decision-makers toward a new class of calculations when considering investments and partners.

Article snapshot: Businesses worldwide are under new scrutiny from a practice known as spatial finance, by which banks, insurers, and other financial players use GIS technology and spatial data to assess a company’s impact on the world around it.

Estimating returns on logging a plot of timberland may be a familiar exercise—but what’s the value of not logging it, and instead generating offsets to sell in the carbon market? A sugarcane mill located near Costa Rican rain forests might offer low production costs, but board members may ask whether it is worth the reputational risks posed by its environmental impacts. An investment team considering a mining opportunity in Australia might ask how exposed the assets are to the threat of wildfire.

For those holding the purse strings of the global economy, the ability to quantify and analyse the effects of business on nature, and of nature on business, is becoming an essential competitive advantage.

A specialized brand of spatial finance—a term coined by Oxford University’s Sustainable Finance Group—has arisen to meet the demand for such insights.

Spatial Finance: Assessing Sustainable Risk and Opportunity—From Earth and Space

This new application of spatial finance relies on a suite of innovative technologies including a geographic information system (GIS), remote sensing, and artificial intelligence (AI) to generate insights on sustainability-related risks and opportunities in locations around the world.

The near real-time speed of imagery and information generated by satellites, drones, or IoT sensors has made spatial finance attractive to bankers who are well-versed in high-frequency data. Machine-learning algorithms rapidly process images and sensor readings of forests, coastlines, or cropland, spotting anomalies or patterns on a global scale.

GIS enables lenders and advisers to map and analyse these findings via a geographic approach that incorporates business infrastructure, supply chains, and insurance policies. From this holistic operational view emerges a powerful form of location intelligence—one that allows executives to anticipate places where business and sustainability priorities might clash or successfully merge. They can then tailor strategies accordingly.

David Patterson, head of conservation intelligence at the UK branch of World Wildlife Fund (WWF), has seen significantly more interest in spatial finance—and a related practice referred to as geospatial ESG—in just the last six months. “It’s only going to be a matter of time until we see this more and more mainstreamed,” he told WhereNext.

When a company’s sustainability practices—or lack thereof—impair its access to financing, its cost of capital, or its insurance eligibility, sustainability quickly becomes a C-suite issue.

Geographic Location: The Nexus of Nature and Finance

Spatial finance is predicated on the idea that geographic location, the natural environment, and economic outcomes are interlinked. Those who can discern patterns and trends in those relationships—and factor them into decisions about whether to back a startup or write an insurance policy—can minimize losses and safeguard returns.

No less an authority than Adam Smith, the forefather of capitalism, attested to the power of location to influence financial fate. In his landmark tome The Wealth of NationsSmith notes how countries with access to coastlines, which facilitated trade, outperformed those situated inland. In the 21st century, it matters not only how close a company is to resources, but also how it treats those resources. Spatial finance makes it harder for companies to hide harmful activities.

The practice can be employed by investors and insurance firms to analyse would-be partners or customers.

It can also help companies analyse their own operations around the world and understand areas of risk.

Many firms first turn to spatial finance for help with a pressing need: identifying climate risks, ideally before the worst-case scenarios come to pass. The eruption of wildfires in Australia—estimated to have caused over $4.4 billion in economic damage—was a flash point for the Swiss private bank Lombard Odier. To better assess how such natural catastrophes threaten business assets and infrastructure, the firm engaged geospatial consultants.

By interweaving satellite imagery with data on temperatures, wind speed, and humidity in the affected Australian regions, the Lombard Odier team determined that wildfires could have been predicted using the toolset of spatial finance. As reported in Bloomberg, geospatial analysis is now an input in investment decisions at Lombard Odier.

As investment banks, data providers like S&P Global and Refinitiv, and third-party consultants and watchdogs like WWF dedicate more resources to spatial finance, business executives are taking note. Companies that use GIS software can plumb thousands of data layers that are updated daily or weekly on measures likes heat indexes, water quality, and deforestation. Even a basic geospatial capability can help CEOs anticipate the sustainability-related issues that financial institutions, insurers, and other business partners might flag.

“GIS is the anchor point,” says Pablo Izquierdo, GIS lead for the WWF Intelligence team. “It’s the workshop where you pull everything together.”

Measuring the Imponderables

The definition of spatial finance is broad and can technically apply to any sort of economic indicator that can be measured from space or terrestrial sensors. During the COVID-19 pandemic, some investors relied on satellite imagery of Chinese automobile plants to assess economic activity and adjust investments. Hedge funds have used remote sensing to monitor oil inventory levels, lumber supply, and crop yields.

However, the more innovative application of spatial finance today may be its ability to measure traditionally nebulous environmental outcomes, like the carbon-trapping power of untilled soil or the effect of pollinators—or invasive species—on agriculture or timberland. The WWF and others refer to this narrower scope as geospatial ESG.

Financial institutions—which often invest over decades—increasingly recognize the importance of minimizing methane emissions, habitat destruction, and other activities that harm the natural world and heighten climate risks. Their spatial finance analysts rely on advances in data technology and location intelligence to translate those factors onto the balance sheet—or more accurately, the smart map.

“The ability to assign economic values to things—to positive externalities which before had just been taken for granted—that is a key aspect of this discussion,” says Richard Hall, president of Buckhead Resources, a natural resource management and advisory firm based in Atlanta, Georgia.

For example, S&P Global has used NASA satellite imagery to study public water utilities. Analysts determined that utilities sited near ecosystem resources like evergreen forests had better outcomes on debt metrics. Against the backdrop of droughts and growing water scarcity, that kind of location intelligence can influence credit ratings and municipal debt markets.

The Importance of Self-Monitoring 

Business executives are beginning to recognize that their operations and business partners are under scrutiny in ways that were previously impossible.

“There’s a much higher level of scrutiny, particularly in light of the increasing availability of satellite imagery and other remote sensing data,” says Richard Hall of Buckhead Resources. “This may increase risk in some ways, but it also offers significant opportunities to collaborate and improve operations.”

For instance, watchdogs can use satellite-based sensors to track how much methane is emitted from a source, and which company owns that source. Other remote data reveals deforestation and its perpetrators.

Transparency, in other words, is no longer a choice.

“With this remote sensing, different stakeholders are able to call out situations that may warrant action that may have previously gone unnoticed and unaddressed,” Hall says.

Savvy executives will use remotely sensed data and GIS analysis to monitor their own operations and stamp out bad practices before watchdogs do.

Finance is incredibly important to how decisions are made and how the natural world is impacted.

David Patterson, WWF UK Head of Conservation Intelligence

A Dual View on the Value of Sustainability

There’s a longstanding history in natural resource industries of using GIS to manage and track key data and information such as timber inventory or real estate values, says Hall, who also serves as an instructor of natural resource finance at Auburn University. With GIS that uses AI to contextualize satellite imagery and data gathered from sensors, investors, insurers, lenders, and other stakeholders can now take into account what are known as “ecosystem services.”

The term, popularized by the United Nations-sponsored Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, identifies the benefits that society and the planet derive from healthy ecosystems like woodlands, wetlands, coastal reefs, and mangrove forests. Rather than seeing trees only in terms of the dollar value of timber, firms like Buckhead Resources use spatial finance to also quantify a forest’s value as a carbon sink, as a source of revenue from hunting or other recreational activities, or as a natural bulwark that prevents soil erosion.

The dual view afforded by spatial finance helps Hall offer landowners, timber companies, and other clients guidance on complex questions. By analysing metrics like soil and water quality and nearby transportation infrastructure in a geographic context, he can advise a company on how to optimally manage land for a combination of uses including commercial forest management, mining, or conservation. The same analysis can extend to forestry and other natural resource firms that are exploring a transition from land use focused on natural resource management to uses such as real estate development, infrastructure, or renewable energy.

For Hall, who opened his firm just two years ago, GIS’s data and analytical capabilities are the linchpin of spatial finance, and help generate the kinds of insights that might normally come from a much larger firm. “We’re able to do so much more than we could do otherwise by leveraging our abilities with a powerful GIS platform,” he says.

Fine-Tuning the Fleet with AI

One emerging technique for creating efficient EV fleets is the use of artificial intelligence (AI) to improve driving routes. Companies at the forefront of EV adoption are collecting data on driving patterns and analysing it with GIS-based AI technology. An early pilot with a prominent national brand produced smarter routes with lower fuel consumption and less time on the road.

Being able to visualize and effectively manage with a good GIS package is critical. But [just] as important as being able to visualize it [is] integrating that spatial data with the financial data.

Richard Hall, Buckhead Resources

Gaining Visibility on Regulatory Risk

Another area where spatial finance is fast gaining traction is in policing reputational and regulatory risks. Many financial contracts these days include environmental, social, and governance (ESG) guidelines around measures like carbon emissions. For multinational companies and the banks and investors that provide them financing, lack of transparency on supply chain impacts or the actions of business partners can trigger fines and damaging headlines.

“There’s huge demand from financial institutions to better understand what’s going on,” says WWF’s Patterson. “There’s a lot of regulation coming on top of them. They sign up to these agreements and, in many cases, they struggle to understand if they are complying to those agreements.”

For instance, a bank that adopts the Equator Principles, a major benchmark of socially responsible practices for financial institutions, has to consider the impact of loans on critical biodiverse habitats. With a GIS-powered dashboard, bank executives can leverage remote-sensing data to monitor where companies in their portfolio might be operating in proximity to protected sites.

“The smart actors I see now are the ones who are closely watching developments, preparing and building capacity, hiring the right people, and are already there demanding access to asset data and better environmental data,” Patterson says.

To Grow, Protect, and Preserve

It’s telling that many of the places on earth that have the highest levels of biodiversity also tend to be rich in natural resources; healthy ecosystems foster the ideal conditions for natural life, and economic opportunity often follows.

Guided by the geographic context of location intelligence, spatial finance and geospatial ESG help stewards of capital find a balance between capitalizing on earth’s rich bounty and protecting it for future generations.

This article originally appeared in the global edition of WhereNext.

 

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